Even assuming
the worst case scenario of global warming is completely true a
much greater
catastrophy is rapidly approaching. It approaches in full view of
everyone, it yet it remains unseen.
Physicist Dr
Albert Bartlett makes this point very succinctly
in his
video lecture 'The Most
Important Video You Will Ever See' Basically, he
points
out that anything growing constantly will double in size at set
intervals. Start with a penny and double it everyday for a
month
(31 days) and you will end up with 1,073,741,824 pennies. That's over a
billion. In two months you will end up with 2,305,843,009,213,693,952
pennies. That's over 2 quintillion pennies (in United States terms ...
they use very big terms).
That's
the result of starting with one penny and doubling it everyday for
two months. Anything growing sustainably will have a doubling time and
therefore will grow just as the penny grew.
Nothing
can grow constantly in a constrained environment such as the earth no
matter how low the growth rate is: not the economy, not a
country, not the population, not anything.
In
the human body,
cells that always grow come to be called 'tumours' or
'cancers'.
This kills for exactly the same reason we are now killing off
the
ecoculture of the earth.
It
is fascinating that something so simple and so obvious is
being
completely overlooked by just about everyone. What world leader, media,
or any significant body is warning us of this most obvious fact? As
Bartlett reveals through letters written to him, even when shown this
very simple truth some people will actually
argue that the rules of very simple arithmetic must not hold true in
their particular case.
'Sustainable
growth' is one of the most dangerous myths being promoted by our
self-organisational system. However, it takes only a quick look at the
'real' world to see an almost religious fervour over the belief in the
good of growth.
The message of growth is almost as pervasive as the message of
efficiency.
Deadly
problems are approaching in full view while remaining unseen.
This is very much like a performer such as Derren Brown using the
subconscious to cause people to not see what is obviously
right in front of them and to see things that are not there.
We believe the manipulation of peoples' awareness is a one of the most
potent
properties of societal self-organisation. It is vitally important that
we lift this veil from our
awareness if we want a successful future.
THE SOURCE OF THE
VEIL
A goal
orientated self-organisational system (society) will drive to achieve
its goal no matter what the population inside actually think or want or
do. In fact, most people will not even notice the enormous forces
involved in moulding society to fit its goal.
Knowing
that goal is key to understanding what is happening. In society's case,
that goal is monetary efficiency over all other things. The belief in
growth forces us to throw the might of human ingenuity into finding
increasingly better ways to achieve this. Efficiency is one of the key
tools used in this pursuit, one that has been taken up by the 'green'
organisations without question.
Efficiency is good,
right, because it will make us greener!
Are you sure?
Because
growth and efficiency are so important to us (because it is important
to our self-organisational system) the climate change debate has become
absurd on both sides.
In order to see what is
going on at a deeper level, let's look
at how our self-organisational process sees the idea of climate
change/global warming.
From the
context of monetary efficiency, global warming is irrelevent as long as
our
response to it does not cause significant inefficiencies. It does not
care whether
the theory is right or not. However, the moment we try to divert
resources from efficiency to 'global warming solutions', its enormous problem-solving machinery will swing
into
action.
You can see this working
in society right now. The most obvious are the highly charged
emotional arguments
against action. Consider the size and
strength of this opposition and just how effective it has been so far.
Until recently it was headed by the President of the United States
(George W Bush) with
all the power that that entailed.
HOW SELF-ORGANISATION
INFLUENCES THE 'NO' CAMP
The most interesting
thing about the 'no' camp is that no one suggests that we
should consider acting for safety's
sake even if global warming is, in their view, almost
certainly wrong.
Safety
is rarely a question of certainty, but rather of unlikely
possibility. We don't put on seat belts because there is scientific
proof that we will crash. In fact, the evidence is that most likely we
will not crash on any given journey. Still, we endure the discomfort
and personal expense (seat belts costs money) in order to avoid the
consequences of the worst
case scenario. The reason self-organisation allows
us to have seat belts is that seat belts do not impede
economic efficiency whereas tackling global warming does. (further explanation)
There is one thing
certain about climate change: If the worst case
scenario happens, it will devastate human society.
The
'no' camp can be no more certain of their position than the 'yes' camp.
So where does the
force of their argument come from? The safety of people? Nope. The
wellbeing of people? Well, if growth is good ...
So
what is the worst case scenario? Well, if climate change is an issue
over which we have influence then non action results
in societal
devastation. However, if climate change is simply wrong, or we have no
influence over it, then action could easily become a grand monument to
folly.
In
a society that treasures life, which consequence do you think most
properly deserves our attention? Do we act to prevent folly at
all
costs or societal devastation?
What do you
think? Is the veil lifting yet?
HOW SELF-ORGANISATION
INFLUENCES THE 'YES' CAMP
Less obvious and more
revealing is the action of those who believe global warming is a major
threat.
Many people want to
reduce CO2 emissions but keep running into the practical fact
that acting rationally in today's society requires them
to create CO2. Not
burning energy means not acting rationally. That is why most of those
who went to Copenhagen to protest that we
aren't doing enough to reduce
CO2 emissions burned CO2 to get there.
If
even those who are so fervent in reducing CO2 emissions cannot act
without
generating CO2, what chance do you think there is of successfully
changing the
behaviour of people who are not convinced about global warming?
If you are reading this
right now you are using (or used) electricity.
According
to one researcher, a single two word google search uses enough energy
to
boil a kettle (not only your computer, but all the computer and
infrastructure that your search activates. (source)
Modern global society
creates a strong rationality to use energy. It very difficult to
operate without doing so.
Regardless of the truth
of
global warming or environmentalism, the shape of society now makes it
nearly impossible for
us to be truly 'green'. (See the NOTE to the
right.)
This is also why those
who argue
against action frequently point to the cost and loss of quality of
life. Even
those arguing that global warming is a serious threat usually accept
this
argument without question.
The accepted argument
for doing something to
reduce
CO2 emissions is based on the 'fact' that the
threat of global warming supercedes the joys derived
from emitting CO2. There
exists no widely accepted arguments that society could be
shaped
differently. No one seriously considers that a successful, happy
and properous society need not be based on maintaining a cheap
access to enormous flows of
energy.
See this documentary video to see how fully embracing
leading edge technology left Detroit with serious human issues.
The veil is such that
very few ever question where this imperative comes from. It must
simply be human nature most people think. 'I'm not going back into a
cave
with a
fire!' one person told us. Either we must voraciously consume energy or
we must live unhappy primitive lives. We equate energy consumption to
happiness with such vigour that it seems nonsense to most
people
to even question it.
Were
we really so miserable for all those thousands of years
leading up to the last 300 or so?
However,
if one were to create a competition for the best use of energy and
reward the winner with more energy, it would create a fantastic cycle
of evolution leading to energy efficiencies.
What
would energy efficiency mean if society was constructed in such a way
that the we were very content with life and didn't really use much
energy at all? This is another question never seriously asked. The veil
says that the a quality life can only come from access to cheap
abundant energy.
Are you ready to peak
under this veil and see what's outside?
There are two videos on
this page addressing the point of human happiness. One to the right
looks at society as a
whole and the one below looks at us as individuals.
Below is an entertaining
video about Dan Gilbert's surprising research concerning your happiness.
Part 1 of Dr
Bartlett's video discussing precisely why anything constantly
growing within a constrained environment (such as the earth) must hit a
major crisis point.
We could call this VEIL
an emergent
veil in which case it could be shortened to 'E-VEIL'.
Thus, we must stand together to defeat the e-veil force.
(This is not a veiled reference to the
muslim veils, wedding veils or any other piece of clothing)
The
Anti-Global Warming Feeling
John Coleman
gets mad
NOTE
(refers to text on left):
There are many things a few people can do to become 'green'
but if
everyone did them those same techniques would become 'ungreen'. For
example, there are many people who successfully live completely off the
land. However, if all 7 billion people suddenly decided to lived off
the land all our food animals would go extinct and the edible
vegetation would be wiped off the earth. Then we would starve.